NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. However, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and current results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those drivers at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can inform you the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. That includes a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the package from the ninth starting position because race also has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting places to win at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this season also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash at Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he is commanding.

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