NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix odds after a solid start to his period that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, be sure to look at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into account.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, such as correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events at places like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a target for anyone searching for a payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win and went on to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of the year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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