BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate contests out there with this Fight Night card, which can be rare for these free ones. The principal tourney is an $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Hotel, flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entry along with the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entry. I am going to need to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings just released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the biggest prize we’ve ever seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we can shoot some extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and I think she gets this fight ended early. That is where I am starting my cash LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed an easy win here, for my money games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites on this particular card, I simply are the most shocked when Souza lost. I believe she is fine in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games are the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, then find 3 others and you should be good in money games.
GPP drama of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a big Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he’s a few of my own favorites in UFC history. I believe we can see another awesome one here. This battle seems easy to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and if he can get it then he probably receives a 1st round sub. If this happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in that being the outcome of the fight, so that is why he’s my GPP play of the week. He’s also my GPP drama of this week, and not my Money play of this week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get completed himself with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that risk of a low floor because of my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the 200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog play of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he wasn’t carrying this fight on short notice, and if it was not in Brazil. However he does have a very clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who does not have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with a few hard GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU when he’s ready to get the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I really do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, however he must be aggressive and never hang out on the outside. When he hangs out on the outside too long Santos will consume up him with kicks and it could be a short night for Anders. I will select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you can get your other five spots right also.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is always a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week here, I was quite wrong and that he scored over 100 points. If this happens again , then so be it. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to pay off a $9.2k salary by a man who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points from Alvey when I roster him and the only way get caught that’s with a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each struggle, my personal strategies & recommendations, and also my pick outlook for every fight then it is possible to discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
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