Extracting Value From the Rebuilding Boston Bruins
With the Patriots succeeding without Tom Brady and the Red Sox on their way into the match, expectations for New England’s hockey team will be extremely high — and unless they overachieve, Bruins backers will more than likely be disappointed with the merchandise Cam Neely has assembled for the approaching season. Anticipate head coach Claude Julien’s butt to be implanted firmly in the hot seat this year because his job safety may be in question when the Bruins fail to make the playoffs for the third consecutive year.
Boston missed the playoffs by just 3 points last season after finishing with a respectable 93 points but made few improvements into a roster with more than its share of rust. Zdeno Chara is far from the Norris winner he was he’s now on the incorrect side of 40 and Tuukka Rask made serious regressions in a 2015-16 effort that saw him finish outside the top 20 in save percentage.
If this team is to succeed, it’s going to have to score and score a lot, something I am not sure it’s capable of. Past the very first line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Backes — that had a combined 90 aims and 173 points in 2015-16 — that there isn’t a whole lot of goal-scoring experience with this roster. The projected third and second lines for Boston combined to score just 73 goals for their respective teams last season.
Stanley Cup +2500
The most important question here is this — can a team with a single strong line, no defense and a struggling Tuukka Rask make the playoffs and win four straight seven-game series? I have some severe doubts and unless Rask yields to Vezina form, this still-rebuilding group has basically no chance to win another Cup this year.
Another hit to the Bruins’ Stanley Cup odds is that only 1 group in the last 20 years has missed the playoffs and then proceeded on to win the Cup the next year.
Eastern Conference +1200
For nearly a decade, in the event that you wanted to gauge how your team stacked up in the Eastern Conference, you utilized the Bruins as a benchmark. They made conference titles in 2010-11 and 2012-13 and kept stacking their system by trading celebrities like Joe Thornton, Phil Kessel and Tyler Seguin. That paradigm, however, has shifted as Boston is currently rebuilding and trying to lose a number of the dead weight now holding down the team.
Earning the Stanley Cup final and winning a third conference title in the past seven years would have a miraculous run that I’m not sure this team is up for.
Atlantic Division +650
The Tampa Bay Lightning will be the complete class of the Atlantic Division right now and it will be a hard task for any team — let alone the Bruins — to finish the season before Steven Stamkos and the Bolts.
Boston’s last division title came in the 2013-14 season when the Bruins finished atop the Atlantic from the first year of the newest division realignment that saw that the Detroit Red Wings unite the Eastern Conference. The Bruins also ended the season with the most points at the league this year, earning the Presidents’ Trophy — that is something that this team will not be doing.
Complete OVER/UNDER 93.5
BetOnline seems to be right on the ball using those OVER/UNDER point totals and that I have not actually found any that I really love or find much value betting. As mentioned, Boston had just 93 points last year and didn’t find much tangibly better or worse in any category. If you put a gun to my head, I would say UNDER as a result of parity I feel will exist among the groups battling for the wild-card playoff spots this season.
Brad Marchand to Lead the League in Goal Scoring +2500
Boston will somehow need to compensate for the 30 goals they dropped if Loui Eriksson signed with the Vancouver Canucks at the offseason and Brad Marchand could be the beneficiary. It is a definite long shot with guys like Patrick Kane and Alex Ovechkin still in their primes, but Marchand finished sixth in the Maurice”Rocket” Richard Trophy race last season with his career-high 37 goals just 13 rear of Ovi’s league-leading 50 and he is still playing elite playmaker Patrice Bergeron, who appears to get better every year.
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