UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the Stakes for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 decades of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a significant reach advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably larger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is vastly more technical with crisp combinations and dangerous power. He comes from a good camp but his main weakness seems to be defense, where he’s left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in several recent fights.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to struggle against more specialized competition. He is on a significant losing streak where he’s appeared flat and vulnerable in every struggle. It seems Cub is on a a downturn that’s not surprising given his era in a branch where speed is king. It should be noted that most of Cub’s losses have come to top 10 opposition, but it’s his lack of competitiveness that raise a red flag.
This fight should be entertaining with the two men eager to stand and commerce. In the unlikely event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this might be a close battle, but we expect to find a falling veteran who can not keep up with the technical young talent. Back Burgos for the win , likely from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has much better striking compared to his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he has not shown the most effective initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he has shown a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, largely throwing his hand to set up degree fluctuations. He averages an absurd quantity of takedown efforts each struggle, compounded by the fact that he struggles to maintain top position for extended periods.
In this struggle it is likely Dvalishvili does land takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to avoid getting stuck onto his spine. More time on the feet for Katona means he will be in control, landing hurt and amassing rounds. This ought to be a close fight where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he’s fighting a branch his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter that has a significant edge in all areas of the battle. On the feet he’s defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the space. Prepolec likes to get in close but leaves himself wide open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he should be open to counters from Taleb. Size are also a large element where Prepolec has demonstrated a inclination to get out muscled from the grappling section by far smaller and less gifted fighters compared to Taleb. This is probably his safest path to victory where he probably dominates to set up a finish. On short notice introduction there are just too many barriers to overcome and whilst the chances are short, this looks to be a simple win.